People who are assuring us that this means Trump is going to win are clearly unfamiliar with the deeply weird lore of this country's THREE mid-seventies presidential-candidate assassination attempts.
I’m grateful for your ice water on this — I’m trying not to leap to any conclusions myself, but I am very nervous about a potential martyr effect, and very much appreciate your reassurance.
it's particularly frustrating because you don't have to read studies with titles like The Electoral Consequences of Political Assassination in the United States you can just go to wikipedia and check who had attempts on them during their campaigns and how that turned out
Everyone is also rightly terrified of Trump returning to power. And frankly the violence and chaos he breeds like this is exactly why. Stark reminded for those who’ve forgotten the nightmare of the Trump years.
I assume it's cause of the conventional wisdom about Reagan/Hinckley, even tho that was more polls going up for an already popular president who had slumped, and, as noted, it's not a predictable "fact" or established pattern regarding these things.
To Chinese and Taiwanese people like us it’s less stupid; after all a similar incident happened on the eve of Taiwan Election Day in 2004, and it definitely helped.
Of course, the difference between this and that is vast.
To be completely honest, the first thing that came to my mind after I heard, was that he might have staged this himself. Doesn't this this say a lot about how many insane things this man has done, that this is the first thing people think of at such terrible event?
As if anything else in his entire existence hasn't been? We've seen the insane shit his coatarie is up to with 2025. Do you think They give two shits about two lives to get their guy in place?
So far this entire shit show is beyond the pale. Probably a lone nut it's not that crazy to think it.
