Post

Avatar
An interesting plot: For everyone out there who's arguing that the Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption added a lot of water vapor to the atmosphere, here's a plot of total atmospheric water vapor (60N-60S). I've removed the dates on the x-axis, so please tell me when the eruption occurred.
Avatar
Avatar
I deleted my response. Not being able to answer your question, I looked at a number of sources to see if I could find an answer. Failing that, I quoted some stats on the volcano. Now I'm embarrassed because the eminent Professor Katherine Hayhoe ticked me off. 😒
Avatar
don't be mad that you can't figure it out. the entire point is that you can't see it on that plot.
Avatar
I am sorry I misunderstood. We climate scientists regularly have people lecturing us and I mistook your post for that. My apologies.
Avatar
That's very decent of you. I should ask questions, rather than wade in way over my head.
Avatar
It tells you something about social media when a Canadian automatically assumes someone else is a bad-faith troll. On Twitter, she would have almost certainly been right.
Avatar
I do think there’s some OTSD (O for ongoing) for sure!
Avatar
here's the answer, with HT's eruption marked as the dotted line. as you can see, it injected a trivial amount of water vapor into the atmosphere. it was unusual only in that it injected it into the mid-stratosphere, but water vapor there has little impact on the climate.
Avatar
Thanks for this. HT is still brought up by deniers on Twitter. This is a compelling piece of evidence.
Avatar
The effect was quite marked in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere though, right? From: journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
Avatar
Absolutely — it had a big impact on the stratosphere. The right calculation of course is to take the change at each level and multiply it by a radiative kernel that weights the level by it's climate impact. That yields a very small impact on the climate from HT's water vapor impact.
Avatar
A small impact on global temperature do you mean?
Avatar
yes, small impact on global average temperature