Barry Burden

@bcburden.bsky.social

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Professor of political science at UW-Madison. Director of Elections Research Center. First gen college grad. Native Ohioan.

barryburden.info

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Republicans are downright euphoric. Biden troubles, dismissal of docs case, & esp. the shooting raised Trump from ticket leader to nearly religious figure. GOP's been restructured as a Trump organization. Might work brilliantly in 2024 but could result in little actual party after Trump. #RNC2024

This sign is literally warm because it was just printed #RNC2024

Balloons to drop Thursday night at #RNC2024

Talked to head of a big restaurant just a block from the security zone who says he has only 2 reservations booked for tomorrow. Locals are not dining out downtown and he has gotten almost zero #RNC2024 business.

At Heritage event, Tucker Carlson sees rightness of VP pick because of who opposed Vance: conservative war mongers and anti-Christians Also says Trump’s response to shooting guaranteed election victory #RNC2024

Vance’s appeal to Trump: - not a long time DC insider (cf Pence) - young (cf Biden) - potential rural/Blue Wall appeal (Biden’s only hope) - bent to Trump’s will after early opposition #RNC2024 apnews.com/article/trum...

Trump picks Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, a once-fierce critic turned loyal ally, as his GOP running mateapnews.com Donald Trump has selected Sen. JD Vance of Ohio as his VP. Vance swept to national prominence with his bestselling memoir, “Hillbilly Elegy.”

Incongruous Heritage Policy Fest: live band rocking ABBA & Steve Wonder while screens show stats about illegal immigration #RNC2024

Project 2025 Director Paul Dans claims campaign against it is biggest misinformation effort since the “Russia hoax” #RNC2024

Biggest applause lines for Ramaswamy at Heritage Policy Fest are about dismantling the “nanny”and “deep” state #RNC2024

For the next week it’s thousands of delegates, journalists, conservative groups, police, and me in Milwaukee. The weather for the kickoff is toasty. #RNC2024

The Daily Show taping I was set to attend has just been cancelled for “logistical reasons. #RNC2024

Seeing lots of last-minute lobbying within the GOP for Youngkin as VP to expand the ticket’s appeal thehill.com/homenews/cam...

McCarthy suggests Trump pick ‘popular’ Glenn Youngkin as VP if he wants to winthehill.com Former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) sidestepped the rumored frontrunners in former President Trump’s veepstakes, urging Trump to put forward a different candidate: Virginia Gov. Glenn Yo…

Would be a bit like the split screen the resulted when Perot dropped out the last day of the 1992 DNC @pgourevitch.bsky.social

Some thought bias in the Electoral College would ebb in 2024, but looks like Dems need to win popular vote by a couple points just to break even @fivethirtyeight.universeodon.com.ap.brid.gy

This is a media story (outlet 1) about a TV journalist (outlet 2) evaluating video from cable news show (outlet 3). That's 3 steps away from actual news. thehill.com/homenews/cam...

CNN’s Tapper picks apart Biden’s ‘Morning Joe’ interviewthehill.com CNN’s Jake Tapper suggested that President Biden’s interview on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” earlier Monday did little to ease voters’ worries. Biden called into “Morni…

2024 GOP platform is a wee bit shorter than the norm www.npr.org/2024/07/08/n...

Join the UW Elections Research Center & @uwlawdemocracy.bsky.social in person or online for this event on democracy-related litigation www.eventbrite.com/e/year-in-re...

Year in Review: Democracy Litigation in SCOTUS and the Stateswww.eventbrite.com Join us for “Year in Review: Democracy Litigation in SCOTUS and the States” on Thursday, July 11th from 3:00-4:15pm Central Time!

This must be the longest stretch without Trump in the headlines since 2015. (Dems would have appreciated the break at any other time.)

2024 election will be decided by how many takeaways voters want

Overlooked by many: Ohio changed its ballot deadline last month so Dems do not need to use a virtual roll call before the DNC (h/t Rob Richie) www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcn...

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine signs bill to ensure Biden will appear on state's general election ballotwww.nbcnews.com Democrats are still expected to move forward with plans to nominate Biden by a virtual roll call.

Among the extremely online Kamala Harris went from an albatross around the Dem ticket to the only possible savior of it in like 24 hours

Remembering when Trump wanted to “terminate “ the Constitution. Maybe immunity isn’t even needed.

I’m old enough to remember when Republicans called Obama a dictator www.newsweek.com/2014/11/28/o...

Barack Obama and the Great Dictator Debatewww.newsweek.com President after president has read the grant of executive power in Article II as providing the authority for them, and the judicial branch has repeatedly found this to be constitutional.

www.cnn.com/politics/liv...

ICYMI: my account of how Biden won the Dem nomination & the election in 2020. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.111… His electability and public dislike of Trump were big drivers. Both motivations have since ebbed.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

The debate clearly stung the Biden campaign. The age/ability concerns won’t go away. But a few happenings will take attention: SCOTUS pres immunity decision, Trump’s sentencing, & the RNC. A vigorous SOTU-style speech at the DNC will shore up the “had a bad night” narrative.

Rise in viewership corresponds to the era of growing partisan polarization and awareness of party differences @electionstudies.bsky.social

Surprise: presidential debate viewership has actually been rising since the 1990s (2020 an exception) @pewresearch.org

Only books allowed at the house we are renting are by guys with names like Dan, Brad, John, and Ken

I hope the debate matters. Who speaks first and last does not. www.politico.com/news/2024/06...

Trump will get the last word in CNN's debate with Biden next weekwww.politico.com President Joe Biden won the coin toss.