In the world where Biden bowed out in June 2023, and VP Harris won a contested primary, how's the party doing rn?
Better? Worse? I tend to think better. Rs still running against the admin but the principal is able to do lots of public events/interviews and defend the record/attack Trump.
One factoid about the LBJ precedent - his approval rating surged after he bailed out of the 1968 race. Dipped again over the chaotic summer but we'll never know what the dynamic would have been if Biden was going out as a one-term elder statesman.
www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/d...
No. In your scenario whole Party is freaking out and trying To get Biden back on ticket. The guy who beat Trump by 4,5pts on a 66% turnout election. Battle tested. Old, sure, but why abandon a proven winner running on a good and improving economy, they’d say.
Could make people feel better the country as a while which could obviously help the elder statesmen's successor. Also yeah it's an interesting bit of trivia.
