Post

Blocked.
Avatar
👻joy meads👻 @capnjoy.bsky.social · 12 days
66% of registered democrats, meaning that he’s lost a solid third of his own base. That is CATASTROPHIC.
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
My god, 33% of Democrats saying he shouldn't be in the race does not mean those 33% are not going to vote for him!
Avatar
👻joy meads👻 @capnjoy.bsky.social · 12 days
No. Some might vote for him. Some might stay home. And we need more than registered democrats to win.
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
True of literally every candidate you put forward. You need to not only demonstrate that some Democrats will stay home because Biden is old, you also need to demonstrate that fewer Democrats will stay home as a result of another candidate's weaknesses
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
If you put up Harris, some Democrats are going to stay home because they don't like voting for a former prosecutor, or they find her off-putting, or the New York Times runs a bunch of stories about "what did Harris know about Biden's health????"
Avatar
👻joy meads👻 @capnjoy.bsky.social · 12 days
The thing that makes it a lot easier to deliver a message? When your candidate can reliably be understood when they are delivering a message. I can’t believe we are even debating this.
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
He can generally talk fine, aside from sounding old. And yes, yhat makes two of us.
Avatar
👻joy meads👻 @capnjoy.bsky.social · 12 days
We won’t agree. Let’s see what happens. Be well.
Avatar
👻joy meads👻 @capnjoy.bsky.social · 12 days
I can only say what I said before: Biden is worryingly behind in the polls. His own campaign insisted on this debate to change that dynamic. It made it worse. I would be delighted if he were able to turn this around. I don’t see that happening.
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
If you're going to keep saying that he is worryingly behind in the polls, you have to at some point address my repeated observation that he is not, according to the averages, particularly far behind.
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
538 has him down 2 when he was basically tied before the debate. You're acting like he's down 10. If he were down 10 I'd agree the Hail Mary plan.
Avatar
👻joy meads👻 @capnjoy.bsky.social · 12 days
Remember the electoral college and look at the state polls.
Avatar
John Brown stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 12 days
The state polls are similar. Anywhere between +2 and -2. 538's model has the race as a coin flip for a reason. Would I prefer he were polling better? Yes. But it's July and these are nowhere near insurmountable numbers.