Will Jennings 🗳️: 'Institutions, parties and the evolution of electoral preferences' by Chris Wlezien and me is published in the November volume of the European Journal of Political Research. I think it's the most important yet of our work on how voters' choices come into focus over the electoral cycle.

'Institutions, parties and the evolution of electoral preferences' by Chris Wlezien and me is published in the November volume of the European Journal of Political Research. I think it's the most important yet of our work on how voters' choices come into focus over the electoral cycle.

In the paper we analyse how voters' preferences evolve over the electoral cycle in 26 countries in more than 200 legislative elections since 1942. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

https://ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1475-6765.12579ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com Wiley Online Library requires cookies for authentication and use of other site features; therefore, cookies must be enabled to browse the site. Detailed information on how Wiley uses cookies can be fo...

Drawing on over 27,000 voting intention polls and using a new methodology, we show that institutions and the characteristics of political parties matter for how voters' choices line up with election outcomes over time.

Voters make up their minds earlier in the election cycle in PR systems, for older and 'niche' (including far right) parties, while their preferences are less structured for larger parties and in systems with a greater number of competitive parties.

Replication data for the paper (based on >27,000 polls) is available on the Harvard Dataverse... dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

dataverse.harvard.edu

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