I get why people are scared of stuff like this but I think it’s 100% consistent with what I’ve been saying for a good while now, that Biden’s polling is softer (less personal enthusiasm, differential response) among people who are 98% likely to turn out for him in November.
"[T]he new poll shows [Biden] winning 84% of voters who backed him in 2020, while Trump is winning a much larger share of his 2020 voters, some 95%."
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
Yeah when head to heads show stuff like Biden-Trump (43/43) and Michelle Obama-Trump (54/43) and the like, I think the reasonable inference is ppl are registering unhappiness with Biden but they're not gonna vote Trump. This seems a common incumbent pattern as well
Like I think I remember a similar dynamic with Obama's reelection. Ppl were like polling Obama-Romney and Oprah-Romney with Oprah up by similar margins to Michelle here. Didn't mean Obama was going to lose
