The first quarter of the year is off to an exceptionally warm start, as I discuss in a new Q1 State of the Climate Report over at @CarbonBrief: www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the...
⬆️ Warmest Jan, Feb, March, and April (to date) by ~0.1C
⬆️ 2024 on track to be warmest or second warmest year
Based on first three months of the year and the current El Nino / La Nina forecast, we expect 2024 to be similar to or slightly warmer than 2023. With only 3 months in we can't know precisely where the year will end up, but its virtually certain to be at least the 2nd warmest:
While the uncertainty bars have narrowed as each new month of data has come in, our @carbonbrief.org projection of 2024 annual temperatures has remained mostly unchanged since the start of the year:
Finally, while we are still setting new records over the past three months, the margin by which these records are set is a bit more expected after the peak of the current El Nino event. We are not in the same "gobsmackingly bananas" territory we were in last summer:
For more details on regional patterns of warming, Arctic and Antarctic sea ice, and other aspects of the climate system in Q1 2024, check out the full article: www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the...
