The Foggy Jew: Good morning, here we go! New post: Analysis of polling around the European election, in depth on what the polls say, transfer history, polling gaps, and what we might expect to see over the weekend. Read more below 👇 irishelectionprojections.com/2024/06/06/e...

Good morning, here we go! New post: Analysis of polling around the European election, in depth on what the polls say, transfer history, polling gaps, and what we might expect to see over the weekend. Read more below 👇 irishelectionprojections.com/2024/06/06/e...

European Election 2024irishelectionprojections.com With the usual general election piece and the local elections covered this month, it's time to turn attention towards the European election, which will be held the day after this post is published. Th...

Really impressive analysis, thank you. And this is beautiful: "Boylan, who is rabidly “anti-establishment” in the way only a man as deeply embedded into the establishment as he is can be..."

Thank you Paul :)

Really fascinating stuff, thanks

Thanks Seamie!

This is great, thank you. Would you know where is best off Twitter to keep track of local election results, especially for Galway City - can’t expect you to do everything!

Sometimes the tallymen have publicly available spreadsheets, but this isn't always done everywhere, especially for locals. As to where to find them without Twitter... might be a bit trickier 😬

Gavan Reilly will apparently be putting something together!

Most of the MNW prediction permutations make me a little glum. No chance for Saoirse at all then?

Not from polling, no. Ireland Thinks had her at 2.3%, B&A at 1%. There's always the possibility the polls aren't capturing a chunk of her voters (happened in 2019), but it would need to be an even bigger polling miss than last time to have her contending.

As long as Casey isn't at the races there is some consolation, I suppose...

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