NYT spreading misinformation about voting: www.nytimes.com/2024/07/04/o... The ex ante probability of your vote deciding the election is not high of course but it is *definitely* not zero and given the very high stakes, it's rational to vote from a straightforward cost-benefit perspective
Humans are bad at comprehending small probabilities but "what if everyone did this" is actually a very good heuristic precisely because it gets us out of our habit of rounding small-but-consequential-in-aggregate effects to zero
