John Gramlich

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John Gramlich

@johngramlich.bsky.social

I'm an associate director at the Pew Research Center in Washington, DC.
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New from Gallup: "For the first time in nearly two decades, a majority of Americans think immigration to the U.S. should be decreased." news.gallup.com/poll/647123/...
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In addition to the questions about his mental sharpness, Biden inspires less public confidence than he did four years ago on issues including foreign policy, economic policy and Supreme Court appointments. ⬇️ www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
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Notable considering Biden's margin of <125,000 votes in key swing states in 2020: "While both Biden and Trump draw support from large majorities of their own parties’ voters, Trump is currently holding on to more of his 2020 voters than Biden." www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Amid Doubts About Biden’s Mental Sharpness, Trump Leads Presidential Racewww.pewresearch.org Majorities of voters express dissatisfaction with the candidates. And 63% of voters describe both Biden and Trump as “embarrassing.”
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To the many data points showing voter dissatisfaction with Biden and Trump, add this: 63% of registered voters say the two candidates are "embarrassing." In fact, at least a third of voters say that about their *own preferred candidate.* www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
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% of registered voters in the US who say Joe Biden is "mentally sharp" 📉 𝟓𝟑% in March 2021 𝟒𝟓% in September 2021 𝟑𝟔% in August 2022 𝟑𝟑% in April 2023 𝟑𝟎% in January 2024 𝟐𝟒% in July 2024 www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
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NEW: 72% of Americans say democracy in the United States used to be a good example for other countries to follow, but isn’t anymore. That view is shared by a fair number of people in other surveyed countries, too. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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Chart: How people in 35 surveyed countries see the US and China The US is much more popular than China in most high-income countries surveyed. But the US and China fare similarly (or China is more popular) in many middle-income countries. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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Notable as the NATO summit begins: In Turkey, public opinion toward NATO has improved considerably in the last five years. www.pewresearch.org/global/2024/...
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91% of adults in Poland have a favorable opinion of NATO and 88% say being a NATO member is important to Polish national security. 97% of Polish adults have an unfavorable opinion of Russia and 98% have no confidence in Putin. #NATOSummit www.pewresearch.org/global/2024/...
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NEW: In 14 countries and territories, immigration accounted for ALL population growth between 2000 and 2020. Germany, for example, would have lost more than 5 million residents during that span. Instead it gained about 1.7 million. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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Nationally, Biden beat Trump by more than 7 million votes in 2020. But in four battleground states that ultimately tipped the Electoral College to Biden – Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – he won by fewer than 125,000 votes combined. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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If you think disillusionment with the major parties is bad in the US, look across the pond: 35% of adults in the UK see *both* the Conservative and Labour parties negatively. (For context, 28% of Americans see both the GOP and Democrats negatively.)
In the UK, dissatisfaction with economy, democracy is widespread ahead of electionwww.pewresearch.org None of the four major British political parties we asked about in our survey receive net positive ratings from the British public.
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Public confidence in Volodymyr Zelenskyy has declined in several countries in Europe in the past year, especially in Ukraine's neighbor, Poland. Around half of Polish adults (48%) have confidence in Zelenskyy today, down from 70% a year ago. www.pewresearch.org/global/2024/...
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NEW: Among supporters of several right-wing populist parties in Europe, confidence in Vladimir Putin is on the rise. www.pewresearch.org/global/2024/...
Reposted byAvatar John Gramlich
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🚨New expert survey data from Bright Line Watch🚨 93% of experts surveyed before the ruling (starting June 20) say that SCOTUS upholding Trump’s immunity claim threatens democracy 60% say it represents an extraordinary threat 27% say it represents a serious threat (Full report coming next week.)
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From our survey this past January: "Nearly three-quarters of Americans (74%) say it would be too risky to give presidents more power." www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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In our April survey, nearly half of registered voters were "not at all" confident that Biden has the mental or physical fitness needed to do the job. Smaller shares of voters said the same about Trump. www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
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The median age of national leaders around the world is 62. At 81, Biden is the 9th oldest, while Trump, who recently turned 78, also would be among the 20 oldest if he were president today. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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As RFK Jr. threatens to siphon votes from Biden and Trump, our new analysis looks at where prominent third-party and independent candidates in past presidential elections ended up relative to their early positioning in the polls. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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Two of the three most-viewed presidential debates ever have involved Donald Trump. The first Trump-Clinton debate in 2016 drew 84 million viewers, while the first Trump-Biden debate in 2020 drew 73.1 million, according to Nielsen. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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NEW: "Biden, Trump are least-liked pair of major party presidential candidates in at least 3 decades" www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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NEW: How people in 34 surveyed countries view Biden and Trump In most of these places, more people have confidence in Biden than Trump. But that's not the case everywhere. In Hungary, for instance, more have confidence in Trump. www.pewresearch.org/global/2024/...
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"Supporters of right-wing populist parties in many European countries are less likely to have a favorable opinion of the EU. In Germany, those who support Alternative for Germany (AfD) are 42 points less likely than other Germans to view the EU favorably."
Ratings of the EU remain broadly positive in member countries, but have gone down slightly since 2022www.pewresearch.org In two surveyed countries that are not EU members – the United States and the United Kingdom – majorities also have a favorable view of the organization.
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A fundamental difference between Biden and Trump voters over women's progress: 73% of Biden supporters say there are still significant obstacles for women; 70% of Trump supporters say the obstacles that once made it harder for women are now largely gone. www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
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"Nearly two-thirds of Trump backers (63%) support a national effort to deport all those in the country illegally, compared with just 11% of Biden supporters." www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
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Registered voters who support Trump are twice as likely as registered voters who support Biden to say the criminal justice system in the United States is not tough enough on criminals (81% vs. 40%). www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...