How accurate is the weather forecast in your city?
Niko Kommenda and I learned that NWS just began doing gridded assessments of forecast accuracy. We got the data and mapped of how many days into the future they get within 3°F of the observed high temp.
www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
has this changed with climate change at all? I could swear that the 5-day forecasts 10 years ago held up better than they do now, but I was in the same 3-4 day zone at both points in my life
That's the point: climate change is making weather modeling software, which was built with decades of relatively steady climate data, increasingly inaccurate and useless.
The software has only gotten better. The computational capabilities is only getting better. But that's not useful if your datasets are outdated.
For example, you can equip a smartphone with a 50 mp camera, but if the lens is shit, you'll just be getting high resolution Barbara Walters filters.
