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Post-COVID syndrome prevalence: a systematic review and meta-analysis Is the #LongCovid prevalence 41.79%, nearly 50% in EU and US, as this meta-analysis claims? Of course not! bmcpublichealth.biom...#LongCovid prevalence 41.79%, nearly 50% in EU and US, as this meta-analysis claims? Of course not! bmcpublichealth.biom... 1/8
Post-COVID syndrome prevalence: a systematic review and meta-analysis - BMC Public Healthbmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com Background Since the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic began, the number of individuals recovering from COVID-19 infection have increased. Post-COVID Syndrome, or PCS, which is defined as signs and symptoms that develop during or after infection in line with COVID-19, continue beyond 12 weeks, and are not explained by an alternative diagnosis, has also gained attention. We systematically reviewed and determined the pooled prevalence estimate of PCS worldwide based on published literature. Methods Relevant articles from the Web of Science, Scopus, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Ovid MEDLINE databases were screened using a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-guided systematic search process. The included studies were in English, published from January 2020 to April 2024, had overall PCS prevalence as one of the outcomes studied, involved a human population with confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis and undergone assessment at 12 weeks post-COVID infection or beyond. As the primary outcome measured, the pooled prevalence of PCS was estimated from a meta-analysis of the PCS prevalence data extracted from individual studies, which was conducted via the random-effects model. This study has been registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023435280). Results Forty eight studies met the eligibility criteria and were included in this review. 16 were accepted for meta-analysis to estimate the pooled prevalence for PCS worldwide, which was 41.79% (95% confidence interval [CI] 39.70–43.88%, I2 = 51%, p = 0.03). Based on different assessment or follow-up timepoints after acute COVID-19 infection, PCS prevalence estimated at ≥ 3rd, ≥ 6th, and ≥ 12th months timepoints were each 45.06% (95% CI: 41.25–48.87%), 41.30% (95% CI: 34.37–48.24%), and 41.32% (95% CI: 39.27–43.37%), respectively. Sex-stratified PCS prevalence was estimated at 47.23% (95% CI: 44.03–50.42%) in male and 52.77% (95% CI: 49.58–55.97%) in female. Based on continental regions, pooled PCS prevalence was estimated at 46.28% (95% CI: 39.53%-53.03%) in Europe, 46.29% (95% CI: 35.82%-56.77%) in America, 49.79% (95% CI: 30.05%-69.54%) in Asia, and 42.41% (95% CI: 0.00%-90.06%) in Australia. Conclusion The prevalence estimates in this meta-analysis could be used in further comprehensive studies on PCS, which might enable the development of better PCS management plans to reduce the effect of PCS on population health and the related economic burden.
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If the studies included in a meta-analysis are not of sufficient quality, using a wide definition, self-assessment questionnaires, etc, your output will reflect this. 42% would mean 2 out of every 5 people have #LongCovid. This is not the case. 2/8
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There are many reasons why the incidence and prevalence are overestimated. The input data includes a lot of hospital-only studies. 3/8
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The exclusion criteria were non-accessible articles and publications with content unrelated to the research question. Non-primary publications such as book chapters or letters to editor, and case reports were also excluded. 4/8
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The general inclusion criteria were: 1) Availability of full text; 2) The article was written in the English language; 3) The article was published between 1 January 2020 to 27 April 2024; 5/8
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4) The study was in human populations with diagnosis confirmed using PCR, antibody testing, or a clinical diagnosis; 5) The study had an index date using the COVID-19 onset date, first test or diagnosis, hospitalisation date, or discharge date; 6/8
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6) The study had adequate data on the estimates of overall PCS prevalence in a community, i.e. studies that not only focused on the prevalence of a specific PCS symptom as their only outcome. 7) The assessment date, was at least 12 weeks after the index date. 7/8