Matt Lanza

@mattlanza.bsky.social

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Meteorologist in Houston #housky helping business manage weather risk. Editor: The Eyewall also at Space City Weather

Rutgers grad, dad x2, husband. I like books, news, the desert, Willamette wine, and sports. Be good to each other.

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Matt Lanza

#Beryl is on its way to Jamaica now. It’s a category 5 and still expected to be a major hurricane when it arrives there tomorrow. Beyond that? After a close pass by the Caymans, there are a lot of factors that will determine Beryl’s track. Read more: theeyewall.com/jamaica-next...

Jamaica next in line as category 5 Hurricane Beryl plows across the Caribbeantheeyewall.com Headlines Beryl remains a category 5 hurricane with 160 mph maximum sustained winds. Beryl is expected to make a direct hit on Jamaica tomorrow as a major hurricane. While Beryl is likely to weaken…

Now a 4.

Beryl has intensified into a Category 3 hurricane and will move into the Windward Islands tonight, likely causing significant damage. It approaches Jamaica, then heads for the Yucatan. After that, its future is uncertain. Invest 96L could bring more misery to the areas impacted by Beryl. #Beryl

Rapidly intensifying Hurricane Beryl will soon reach the Caribbean Seatheeyewall.com Headlines Beryl has intensified into a major hurricane and will move into the Windward Islands tonight This hurricane will likely cause significant damage to these small islands, including Grenada …

Time for the southern Caribbean to prep for their first storm of the season.

Invest 95L should very soon become TS #Beryl. It is likely to impact the southern Caribbean/Windward Isls as a tropical storm or hurricane by Monday. We explain what we know and discuss 95L’s future in today’s update: theeyewall.com/invest-95l-w...

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Matt Lanza

It’s late June but it looks more like late July or August. Invest #95L is going to keep our attention as a development risk approaching the Caribbean. Today, we separate model signal from noisy hyperbole as we analyze its future and more. Read: theeyewall.com/the-tropical...

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Matt Lanza

It’s just going to be like this, isn’t it? theeyewall.com/the-deep-atl...

The deep Atlantic is waking up earlier than usual this year, while 94L in the Caribbean tries to find a pathway to developtheeyewall.com Headlines Invest 94L in the Caribbean is unlikely to develop, but if it tracks a bit to the north, it has a puncher’s chance in the Bay of Campeche. A robust signal in modeling exists for the…

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Matt Lanza

#Alberto has made landfall in Mexico, while the next system following it will likely contain most impacts in Mexico, with heavy rain again possible. Invest #92L off Florida has about a day to get together before coming ashore. We explain: theeyewall.com/alberto-asho...

Alberto ashore as attention shifts to the next Gulf system and the little one off Floridatheeyewall.com Headlines Alberto made landfall in Mexico this morning, with heavy rains continuing for some areas. The system behind Alberto will likely track similarly but the northern extent of impacts will be …

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Matt Lanza

Ecuador was plunged into a nationwide blackout on Wednesday afternoon, the country’s public work minister said, blaming the emergency on a failure of a key transmission line. www.nytimes.com/2024/06/19/w...

Is it possible that Ryder and Mayor Goodway are in cahoots running an elaborate corruption scheme to fleece Adventure Bay taxpayers out of their hard earned money in exchange for the facade of public safety?

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Matt Lanza

More heavy rain is likely in Florida today. More manageable rain shifts to Louisiana, Texas, and Mexico next week, while a separate system may form in the Bay of Campeche and track into Mexico. And an additional tropical entity may try to form the week of June 24th in the western Gulf.

Next wave of heavy rain pushing across South Florida, as high flooding risks continuetheeyewall.com Headlines Additional heavy rain is likely in Florida today, with a high risk for flooding and excessive totals in South Florida, including the Miami and Fort Lauderdale areas and Naples also. Rain,…

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Matt Lanza

The Gulf is going to load up with moisture this week, and it will take aim at Florida with high rain chances and some flooding likely. This plume of moisture will continue to impact the Gulf Coast next week with uncertainty on details. We explain: theeyewall.com/a-very-unset...

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Matt Lanza

Happy to join the #HouSky party! The hashtag is now in our bio. If you're in #Houston, it should be in yours!

I wanted to write something that was realistically positive. I, too, am concerned about this hurricane season. But I also know the intricacies and inherent risks associated with trying to forecast the future. This is my way of saying “keep calm and carry on.”

Today is the first day of hurricane season. It's a long slog. This year does look active, very active. However, there are many ways it could be less *impactful* than we are concerned with. Preparation is key. A primer: theeyewall.com/as-the-likel...

As the likely active 2024 hurricane season kicks off, we look at ways the forecast outcomes could be less badtheeyewall.com Today marks the first day of what is expected to be a very active hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean. You’ve seen the forecasts. You’ve heard probably more than you care to hear abo…

Today was probably the most miserably hot May day in Houston’s history. The heat index at Hobby Airport got as high as 115°. We didn’t even get that high last summer.

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Matt Lanza

This hurricane season continues to look like it will end up with elite status, which means it’s a good year for you to prepare for it. Some comments on NOAA’s outlook and the weak Caribbean disturbance today: theeyewall.com/hurricane-se...

Hurricane season continues to look like it will be an arduous slogtheeyewall.com Headlines NOAA has unveiled their prediction for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, and to no one’s surprise, it’s active. They predict an 85 percent chance of an above normal season w…

Storms are advancing east but not really a lot of southerly motion to these, so storms mainly along/north TX-105 still seems like a good bet. Houston and most of the metro for now remains fine.

My takeaway from this is that last week's event stands alone as the worst non-hurricane wind event in Houston's history. But there's precedent for similar events occurring in the past. Given the sprawling growth of the region, it's tough to determine how bad those would be today.

Houston’s frightening storm from last week has been officially declared a derecho and as @mattlanza.bsky.social writes, it’s not the first time the area has experienced this kind of weather event. #houwx

It’s official: Houston just experienced a derecho. What is that, and have we ever experienced one before?spacecityweather.com In brief: This post explains what a derecho is, where the term came from, and talks a bit about some past thunderstorms of note in Houston. What is a derecho? The National Weather Service has concl…

Outages are down below 75,000 now across the Houston area per the Centerpoint site. The last mile can be the hardest, but hopefully a majority of y’all still suffering will get power back today. 🤞🏼

The current heat index situation in the Houston area can best be described as “unbearable for May.”

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Matt Lanza

After last night’s ferocious and damaging storm, there will be some showers this morning south and east of US-59 to the coast. Some thunder is possible, but no severe weather is expected. @mattlanza.bsky.social explains what happened. spacecityweather.com/houston-what... #houwx #hounews

Houston, what the heck happened on Thursday?spacecityweather.com In brief: There will be some showers this morning south and east of US-59 to the coast. Some thunder is possible. No severe weather is expected. The rest of the forecast through Monday and Tuesday …

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Matt Lanza

If you're in Houston - or care about someone who is - please read (and share!) @mattlanza.bsky.social's explainer about last night's scary storm. In Thursday's @spacecitywx.bsky.social post, Eric Berger talked about severe weather and possible tornadoes. But it was even more severe than expected.

Pretty incredible rainfall event unfolding north of Houston tonight. Areas just north of Lake Livingston have seen 6-10" of rainfall, with one Trinity River Authority gauge (Caney Creek @ Fryday) recording 6" in an hour.

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Matt Lanza

Things getting weird in Texas too. (W quote from @mattlanza.bsky.social)

What the Bleep Is Going On With Texas Home Insurance?www.texasmonthly.com We’re already dealing with high prices, high mortgage rates, and high property taxes. Now the state faces an insurance crisis.

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Matt Lanza

Recent speculation on social media about the flooding seen in Dubai this week has been full of misleading and factually incorrect takes. Here, we explain what happened, why it was extremely predictable, and why cloud seeding didn’t cause the flooding. theeyewall.com/dubious-duba...

Dubious Dubai flooding claims run rampant: What’s the reality?theeyewall.com Recent rainfall and flooding in Dubai of all places has set off a firestorm of misleading, incomplete, and even some bizarre theories on social media. How did this actually happen? Turns out it was…

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Matt Lanza

Colorado State’s hurricane outlook is a real whopper. What should the average individual take away from this? We try to explain: theeyewall.com/colorado-sta...

Colorado State’s 2024 hurricane season outlook is a doozytheeyewall.com Today we dive into Colorado State University’s hurricane forecast for 2024, which continues to add to the narrative for this season. Put simply: It’s likely to be busy, if not very, ver…

Details on this week’s winter storm for New England and the eclipse outlook which looks poor for Texas right now.

We have quite the week ahead with severe weather and flooding possible the next couple days, a major New England winter storm Wed/Thurs, and a challenging solar eclipse forecast after the weekend. We update the latest: theeyewall.com/april-kicks-...

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Matt Lanza

What can be realistically said about the forecast for April 8th's solar eclipse this far out? We dig into the model data to pull out the key points that can be seen today and what we'll be watching in the days ahead. theeyewall.com/digging-into...

Digging into the model data to tell you what we know about the weather for April 8th’s solar eclipsetheeyewall.com Keeping it simple today: We’re going to discuss what we can say with any degree of confidence right now regarding the solar eclipse forecast for April 8th. Spoiler alert: This looks a bit com…

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Matt Lanza

March is trying to close on an active note. We have heavy rain to discuss this weekend in the Mid-Atlantic, snow in the interior Northeast and Upper Midwest, and severe weather risk expanding across the South early next week. Details: theeyewall.com/winters-grip...

Winter’s grip lingers in the North, while the East Coast sees yet more raintheeyewall.com Today, we take a look at what’s happening with our two main storms over the next few days; one will bring severe weather to the South and snow to the North, while the other will bring heavy r…

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Matt Lanza

An update today on some of the factors impacting possible severe weather Sunday and Monday. We also look at snowfall in the Upper Midwest and N Plains, as well as Canadian drought. More: theeyewall.com/a-look-at-su...

A look at Sunday and Monday’s severe weather factors and the extension of winter in the Northern Plains & Upper Midwesttheeyewall.com Today, we want to offer up a quick update on next week’s severe weather chances, as well as a look at prolonged winter weather in the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains. Headlines Severe weath…

An update on where things stand for hurricane season. The anticipation of very active forecasts remains high.

As we inch closer to hurricane season, we take a look at where things stand. Expect seasonal outlooks to predict a very active season, and that seems well supported by data. We explain: theeyewall.com/as-we-march-...

As we March toward hurricane season, where do things stand this month?theeyewall.com As we’ve done since January, here’s our monthly update on some of the key factors we can look at ahead of hurricane season. We advertise ourselves as being hype-free, and we continue to…