Ruth Deyermond: This is very good from @ozkaterji.bsky.social and Vladislav Davidzon: "Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Is More Successful Than You Think - The focus on the stalled land war obscures major successes in Crimea and the Black Sea" foreignpolicy.com/2023/10/20/u...

This is very good from @ozkaterji.bsky.social and Vladislav Davidzon: "Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Is More Successful Than You Think - The focus on the stalled land war obscures major successes in Crimea and the Black Sea" foreignpolicy.com/2023/10/20/u...

Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Is More Successful Than You Thinkforeignpolicy.com The focus on the stalled land war obscures major successes in Crimea and the Black Sea.

The 1997 treaty that gave Russia most of the Black Sea Fleet plus basing rights in Sevastopol is a key permissive cause of Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea and its 2022 invasion. Ukraine partially forcing out Russia's fleet is hugely significant strategically and symbolically.

(Reposted this from Twitter so apologies if you've seen it twice. For now, posting on both sites.)

Sorry, but I’ve seen Katerji’s downright vulgar, scatological engagements people who disagree with his dogma on Twitter, so I think I’ll pass…

Doesn't invalidate what he's saying here.

Key point that too many people seem to forget: "Ukraine is fighting a medium- to long-term war on multiple fronts against a significantly larger and heavily entrenched foe." Their successes are all the more remarkable for that. Now we must send them everything they need to finish this war asap.

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