New election briefing out
First @dylandifford.bsky.social looks at the detail of the many polls being published to explain, more clearly than I've seen elsewhere, exactly what they're saying.
Then 26 seat previews covering Cambridgeshire + Essex.
(£/free trial)
samf.substack.com/p/the-story-...
Loads of fascinating details in Dylan's piece. Including that around half of Labour's apparent 3pt drop since the start of the campaign is due to methodology changes by pollsters.
Whereas all of the Tory 4pt drop is there regardless of the changes.
The previews today cover three of the leadership hopefulls - Kemi Badenoch, Priti Patel and James Cleverly. Plus Clacton, where Farage is standing.
25 out of the 26 seats I look at are currently Tory. Which will remain so?