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In the latest @LCDEurope 2024 report - Prof @profejzrobinson.bsky.social & I track the impact of increasing frequency of #heatwaves and #droughts on access to sufficient healthy and nutritious food in #Europe. #CMCC @granthamlse.bsky.social #EIEE #IDAlert 🔗https://shorturl.at/inuMU
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2/n Compared to 1981–2010, increased heatwaves frequency resulted in 1.12 percentage-points increase in food insecurity in 2021. Increasing drought frequency resulted in food insecurity being 0.47 percentage-points higher.
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Even Europe is not immune to #climatechange induced increase in #foodinsecurity. In 2021, 16.3% of the population in Europe reported eating only a few kinds of food. 14.4% reported being unable to eat healthy & nutritious food 10.6% reported eating less than they thought they should.
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4/n The main transmission channels are through impact on crop yields, disrupting supply chains, and price stability. Proactive safety nets are needed to protect the most vulnerable.
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5/n We combine food insecurity data from @FAO #FIES with @CopernicusECMWF ERA5. Novel time-varying regression allows us to estimate whether the relationship between food insecurity, heatwaves, and droughts is changing over time.