@surfingthepast.bsky.social: Because early July polls are 100% accurate! Nate Silver had one good insight. A candidate with a 25% chance has a totally good chance of winning. That’s what polls can tell us even WHEN your candidate’s numbers don’t improve. Let alone when they do.

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All the polls

Because early July polls are 100% accurate! Nate Silver had one good insight. A candidate with a 25% chance has a totally good chance of winning. That’s what polls can tell us even WHEN your candidate’s numbers don’t improve. Let alone when they do.

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