I'll risk putting down a marker now even though we're still 4 months out: I think abortion access and the overall issue of bodily autonomy is going to decide this election.
Yes, and I'm sorry to put this in political terms, but if anyone thinks those in support of abortion rights in FL will also vote for Bat Boy (same in MT) then they're just ignoring the anger that's out there.
Completely agree. Polls are not getting at this right now, and I think it's like when we moved and were making decisions. Certain things were complete non starters, e.g. commute. Every decision we made was with those primary considerations in place, so we moved on to things like no of rooms.
When asked, we might have said we really wanted a home with XYZ, but that was after we'd filtered out everything that was too far away. I think a lot of people are filtering for abortion before talking about anything else.
The Times had an election calculator you could play with and if you took the historic norms and just shift the women’s vote 5% to the Dems it’s an easy win for Biden. I think Abortion is easily a 5% bump for women.