Post

Avatar
Avatar
“If Trump follows through on his pledges to round up and deport migrants, we can expect not just violent resistance and mass casualty events but serious economic downsides. ” But Genocide Joe! Ummm, student loans! Ummm, some other excuse for progressives not to oppose Trump!
Avatar
“Enjoyed” the read. Noticed the Middle East didn’t come up, and we have a hot conflict plus the precedence of Solemani being droned. Would this be an x-factor towards an alternative conclusion?
Avatar
“Longstanding Middle East allies would be forced to look west to Europe or east to China for security benefactors. Given China’s voracious energy appetites, it would make sense for most of the Persian Gulf to look to China as its new security benefactor. …
Avatar
” Longstanding U.S. allies in the Middle East, wary of Iranian revisionism, would likely follow suit, with Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates eager to join the nuclear club.“
Avatar
Fair, fair, I should clarify: Does it warrant its own section or is that just me casting the hindsight bias of “For most for this century US Foreign Policy imagines itself focusing on European and Asian poles then gets stuck in the Mideast?”
Avatar
Allies not meeting targets is not why Trump will withdraw us from NATO. That's just the pretext
Avatar
Sure it wasn’t your call, but “stranger” in the headline deserves an alternative comparative.
Avatar
Avatar
Damn! Should have checked your Substack first. But yes, this nails it.
Avatar
Japan developing an indigenous nuclear weapon sounds very far fetched. The rest of it is deeply worrying.
Avatar
Japan has the technology, the skills, the nuclear material, and a history of wars with both Russia and China. Probably 90 days from the Japanese PM saying “go” to a deployable weapon.