When I said "I don't trust the absolute numbers of the polls, but I trust movement" what I meant is that there's no way in hell Colorado has dropped off 12 to 15 points towards Trump in the last few years, but that's what these guys are showing.
I would have heard about it if anyone in the state Democratic party, the organizers, or the elected officials thought the state was even close to competitive.
There's a competitive race (Yadira Caraveo) and a stretch goal for Dems (Boebert's old district) but like, CO has gotten bluer with every election for the past decade+ and there is no mechanism conceivable to me that would U-turn that by 200k votes
The main thing is once Dems gain statewide office and show they can govern well, a lot of the scaremongering no longer works. But here in VA the process took AGES
I was so mad about that election. TMac used his muscle on the state party and preempted any primary challengers. Classic Democratic miscalculation: believed he was personally popular, where it was his policies that were popular
Virginia really likes the single term limit on governors and someone running for a non consecutive term triggers a visceral “you had your turn already” reaction from voters. All Youngkin had to do was ride that to victory