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Apparently this is the poll that has every Democrat freaking out today, and I have... questions... about the pre-debate numbers.
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You mean how it would be a Reagan-level sweep
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If Trump is winning New Mexico and Virginia against Biden, they're is no Democratic candidate who would beat Trump.
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Colorado falls off by 12 points, sure, why not
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We had a gubernatorial election with anti-abortion Trump-annointed Heidi Ganahl versus incumbent Polis 2 years ago
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It would be a lot harder to be a poll truther if they would simply reflect a recognizable reality
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I am willing to believe that Trump is winning this election I am not willing to believe Trump is going to manage Reagan’s electoral map or anything close to it
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The district Boebert left had their primary and pretty safely chose the non-Trump conservative. Even the conservative parts of the state aren't HUGE Trump fans.
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Is this from the poll that has Trump winning women by several points?
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Ya sure polls are trash but I have people rn absolutely dooming posting all the polls where Biden is losing you show them one little poll where he’s pulling ahead and it’s NOPE that’s not a real poll! Bizarre.
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Only the bad polling is real, duh
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Yeah, trump will get crushed here like he did last time.
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It's obviously completely reasonable to believe Trump was winning the national vote by 4% before the debate & is winning by 6% afterward, I say, not having ever seen a single election result in the past half-decade
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after 6 years of stinging rebukes, americans have decided to fall in love with president sex criminal by huge margins somehow
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In fairness, we only have puck news's word that this scares democrats who matter
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I trust no part of this story.
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We went to a Midwestern diner and replaced their poll numbers with Folger's crystals. Let's see if they notice
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down in NH is a "we're totally cooked" situation, so yeah
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Biden beat Trump in Virginia by 10.2% in 2020; this poll presupposes that Biden lost 8.5%... before the debate? Among whom?
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People in NoVa are totally jazzed about a Trump return to office, right?
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Totally anecdata, but a disturbingly large number of my friends, acquaintances, & business relations in NoVA are adamant about wanting just that unfortunately 😑
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NoVa seems like one of those places that is going to vote very, very hard against Trump.
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Wish I shared your confidence. I have been at Happy Hours recently w/ my Wife & her colleagues, she is a Fairfax County public school teacher, & there has been a decidedly Pro-Trump slant to all of our discussions. Worried that BSKY folks are a bit of an outlier like the car below at this point 😬
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This poll makes no sense.
Can someone explain why we are even concerned about polls? It doesn't seem like they have been terribly accurate since the whole transition away from landlines and people never answering their phones for fear of scams.
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Has any post 2020 poll been correct though? They all scream doom and yet in every election the Democrat overperforms by 20 pts
No one I know ever answers their phone for unknown numbers or anyone not on their contacts list. I did once recently for the first time in years as I was expecting something new for business and I immediately regretted it as it was the local police union begging for donations.
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The polls in 2022 were pretty accurate. The mostly MAGA pundits claiming a red wave weren’t but the polls really were fairly good.
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Chris start juicing President Kamala right now I’m so serious
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All the civil servants and people who depend on a stable civil service for their jobs in NoVa have defected in droves for the guy who's going to fire them all and reign by fiat
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It's just nonresponse bias all around. This might be cope but it's nonresponse bias.
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Went from not winning to very not winning
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There are no reliable polls anymore but especially not in late June.
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Yeah the shift is the point here the absolute numbers look like baloney
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A 2 point shift 4 months before the election isn't great, but it's not "the sky is falling we're all doomed!"
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that's double the likely margin
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It's less than Trump dropped (and recovered) after his conviction.
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But I’m supposed to quote tweet and have a knee jerk reaction as usual
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Ssshhhh! You're supposed to overlook those!
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If we aren't past the point of people freaking out over a poll could we at least get to the point people actually look at the poll and question its veracity first? :(