Peter Hurley: If you tank Kav I think you have a better shot of taking the Senate in the 2018 midterms. And if you do then you bottle up the open seat(s) til 2021.

Just remarkable how "old person won't retire" has driven history for the last 15 years. Kennedy not resigning after brain cancer diagnosis -> Scott Brown Feinstein staying on past prime and bungling hearings -> Kavanaugh/Barrett RBG Biden

i mean i think they get kav and acb anyway

Yeah, it's a little much for a line in one post, but my take there: Feinstein was old and addled. She bungled the line on Barrett ("the dogma lives loudly within you") and made her a right-wing Catholic superstar. She bungled the Kavanaugh and Barrett hearings bc she was so old and incompetent.

Sure but that didn't make a substantive difference in the outcome

On ACB probably no difference she could really make. Kav was deeply vulnerable at the point when the committee felt the need to actually let Blasey Ford testify. Better politicking could have sunk him.

Even if you think that, and even if you think Feinstein was load bearing, there's an endless pool of FedSoc alternatives waiting, the next one in line would have gotten the nom. At the time people thought if they could delay until the midterms maybe Dems will take the Senate, but that didn't happen

If you tank Kav I think you have a better shot of taking the Senate in the 2018 midterms. And if you do then you bottle up the open seat(s) til 2021.

You're welcome to believe "Feinstein retires pre 2018 -> Dick Durbin makes more convincing attacks in the confirmation -> Kav withdraws and no replacement is nominated for four months -> Dems do 6 points better in the midterms, win Indiana and Missouri" is realistic, but I don't

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