John Pfaff: Which, if IIRC, is what every political scientist who studies polling and presidential elections predicted. Upside of social media is helps experts escape professional bubbles, face ideas and criticisms they might otherwise miss: DEF the case for me w views of activists/abolitionists, etc. But:

Which, if IIRC, is what every political scientist who studies polling and presidential elections predicted. Upside of social media is helps experts escape professional bubbles, face ideas and criticisms they might otherwise miss: DEF the case for me w views of activists/abolitionists, etc. But:

I noted it at the time, and I'm going to repeat: There is a lot of posturing around here about How Things Really Are and we're having a several days long freakout about Biden's delivery while voters largely shrug and assume the policy clash is unchanged

The downside of that same flattening is that expert opinion--which, again, while not always correct, is non-pundit expert opinion for a reason--will often get drowned out in a much deeper flood of overly-confident non-expert assertions. And this it is hard, mentally and emotionally, to filter well.

To be fair, the last few years have been hard on social science wisdom, and I hedged on whether or not it would be in force on Thursday night

Fair enough. But even that has been increasingly hard for me to deal with on here: the experts are all hedging, and the non-experts seem to be getting more and more confident with their claims. Which is at best half-backwards (expert hedging is good, confidence by either ... less so).

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