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I have personally encountered people who voted for Trump in 2016 and then got too grossed out to do it again in 2020. They really do exist.
yeah people act like it's 100% the cult but there are soft trump supporters who actually don't like that he's a criminal scumbag and because our system is stupid it doesn't take all that many of those to stay home to swing it
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i live in a rural area with a lot of white retirees (aka prime bad people demographic). zero trump signs this time around. there were a LOT in 2020. and a lot of those stayed up a while.
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I have a relative who briefly lived in a southern retirement community and their HOA banned political signs — she suspects it was bad for home resale rates as the area is attracting more folks from the north.