As between Vance and Rubio, if Trump feels confident he'll win (which he probably does now), he'll pick Vance. But Trump surely knows the peril he faces in Florida with the abortion access ballot issue. Rubio helps Trump in Florida, but Rubio will also throw Trump under the bus so he can be POTUS.
Former president Donald Trump’s campaign is aiming to announce his running mate by July 15, the first day of the Republican National Convention, according to people familiar with the situation, and internal discussions have largely centered on two finalists as he nears a decision.