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don't look now but Biden's narrowly up in the 538 average "but the state polls" the same state polls that show the D Senate candidates with healthy leads? those state polls?
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there's been an extremely strong trend towards less split-ticket voting in recent elections I have a hard time seeing that reverse as hard as the polls currently say it will which I guess you could read either as a good sign for Biden or for R senate candidates
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My mom was a long-term politically active Republican, of the liberal good-local-government variety, but she didn't vote for either Bush, much less Trump. (I'm not sure about Romney, though she preferred his dad.)