don't look now but Biden's narrowly up in the 538 average
"but the state polls"
the same state polls that show the D Senate candidates with healthy leads? those state polls?
there's been an extremely strong trend towards less split-ticket voting in recent elections
I have a hard time seeing that reverse as hard as the polls currently say it will
which I guess you could read either as a good sign for Biden or for R senate candidates
My mom was a long-term politically active Republican, of the liberal good-local-government variety, but she didn't vote for either Bush, much less Trump. (I'm not sure about Romney, though she preferred his dad.)