Tahar 🇺🇦 🇵🇸 🇺🇳 🇪🇺: #France: The coalition of Left did very well. I predicted they’d become the 2nd largest group in the parliament, I was wrong. They are the 1st group now with between 172-192 seats. It’s a cohabitation scenario, & Macron will have to share power with NFP. Big question: will Mélenchon be the next PM?

#France: The coalition of Left did very well. I predicted they’d become the 2nd largest group in the parliament, I was wrong. They are the 1st group now with between 172-192 seats. It’s a cohabitation scenario, & Macron will have to share power with NFP. Big question: will Mélenchon be the next PM?

#France: result of the legislative elections. No majority of the RN, but a plurality.

NFP has said that he won't be their PM candidate. My suspicion is that it will have be someone from either PS or EELG in order to bring the Macronists along.

Typo in there. EELG should have read EELV.

I automatically read it as EELV—Les Verts

There will be a lot of horse trading. The NFP will need to form a parliamentary block large enough to reach a majority. In doing so, Melenchon will be a hurdle, imo, to reach that majority if he puts his name out there for PM. So the PM will have to be a consensus choice. Yes, a PS is very likely.

I do wonder if Melenchon winds up putting his name out there after all just to make taking it back off the table something to "give" to the Macronists in the negotiations in exchange for policy concessions.

We will see. It’s going to be fascinating, for sure.

One more thing, Melenchon might not want to be a PM bc that’s a poisoned gift. He will for sure run for president, & he doesn’t want his popularity to be tarnished by being a PM

Yes, I completely agree. No one who wants to be either president or PM in a more stable government one day won't put themselves forward this time.

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