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UPDATE: What is happening in France today? Left candidates who came in 3rd are dropping out of the runoffs to block the far-right. *Many* Macronists, including incumbents, are doing the same when they came in third. But... many said they won't. (I'd say about half/half right now? Deadline tmrw.)
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THE sentence of the day: A Macronist incumbent in the Marseille region came in 3rd in her seat. She just dropped out to support the left. She said, about why she's maneuvering to block the far-right: "Defeats happen, but you can never recover from dishonor."
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Another example of Macronists dropping out (the big thing to watch today): The "Hautes-Alpes" has 2 seats, both currently held by Macron's party. Yesterday, Macron's candidates arrived third in each district, behind the RN & the PS. They've both said they're dropping out.
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But, again, some Macronists are not dropping out at this hour in places where they are third & RN can win. See these two districts as example. Far-right under 35% in each... but that'd be enough in a 3-way.
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A Macronist who came in 3rd place in southern France says he is dropping out to block the far-right. Results here: RN 36%, left 29%, Macronist 25%. What's interesting...: He said as he dropped out that he got calls to *not* do so, including from Macron. lemonde.fr/politique/li...
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Is there a reason Macron doesn't want to work with the left to block the far right? Seems like "maximize non right wing seats" via coalition would be the no brainer option.
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That'd be assuming he'd prefer a strong left, which would seem evidently he does not.
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What would a strong left look like in France vs a Macron France? It's probably just my US lens, but it seems more like they'd be natural allies in this scenario than "give the keys to the Nazis instead".
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Macron's political choices and views are very much on the far-right side. It's repackaged in a somewhat more palatable way, but according to a lot of French people (myself included) he's one of the main reasons why the RN is so prevalent these days
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This is a good point, & a good example of this was when he passed an immigration bill that was, to put it very mildly, controversial within his own party, and backed by the RN. " Ms Le Pen welcomed the amended bill, calling it an "ideological victory" for the far-right." www.bbc.com/news/world-e...
Macron defends tougher immigration reform as 'shield'www.bbc.com The law - backed by France's far right - makes it more difficult for migrants to bring over family members.
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Rim-Sarah Alouane wrote a great essay in '22 about this & how Le Pen can focus " on everyday issues, such as rising energy bills and the cost of living, safe in the knowledge that on immigration, citizenship and “national identity,” she’s already won the argument." www.nytimes.com/2022/04/20/o...
Opinion | Marine Le Pen Is as Dangerous as Ever (Published 2022)www.nytimes.com As a French Muslim citizen, I fear for my country.
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The trouble w/ Macron is that the way he's been framed, as has centrism in Europe & North America in general, is as a safe &moderate pair of hands & friendly 2008-era Obama energy. The reality is that, as Mya L points out, there's no difference between his views and Le Pen's, just how the marketing.
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It's not just in France. We've seen similar situations in the Netherlands and Germany, where the far right has won over the years - not always in terms of coming first at the ballot box, but in terms of legislation that eventually paves their way towards power.
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Yes. In the Netherlands the rightwing businness friendly VVD has been increasingly using far right rhetoric and policies in a bid to stay in power and are now backing a fascist run government. Only 20 years ago they were in a coalition with Dutch Labour...
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Yes & it rankles whenever Rutte's spoken about as 'just' a "pragmatic" leader outside the Netherlands, or when people would go "Oh we kept the far right (Wilders) away, we've won!" every election. Er, no - Wilders (Pim Fortuyn, and others before him) had already won before you cast your vote.
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All of this seems to be ringing far too true for a lot of western democracies these days
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Definitely see it here in the US too. Far right plays the incredibly long game at all levels of government.
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Yes, and one of the reasons why people are critical of centrists esp. in the European and N. American contexts is that a lot of what we're seeing in terms of far right wins comes out of one-sided "compromises" that weaken worker rights, civil liberties etc, in the name of civility.
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*how the marketing goes. (Typo)
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