Blyth & Ashington and Sunderland South (only two results, but if you can't wildly overextrapolate, what is quarter to midnight on election night even *for*?) both suggest: MRPs overestimating the Labour share, exit poll overestimating Reform:
Yeah, it's hilarious that I came fairly close to the exit poll just by using the FT's ready reckoner and going 'fuck it, just deduct three from Labour and add to the Tory score from the poll average'.