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I still think we're going to win this election and it's not ultimately going to be that close
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Two months to labor day and from there there's two more months of the silly season including debate, the 538 polling average hasn't even gotten to April's margins lol
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You'd round up to a two point bump but its not actually two points yet
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There needed to be five points of movement to Trump with independents. I haven't seen anything close to that. However, replacing Biden doesn't matter at this point. The Imperial Presidency decision will hurt Trump far more than anyone is realizing.