Mick Ryan

@warinthefuture.bsky.social

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There are many strategic lessons from the war in #Ukraine. But, they must be viewed in context if they are to have value. I recently began a series to translate Ukraine lessons for the application in the Pacific theatre. Here is the latest article ($). mickryan.substack.com/p/strategic-...

Strategic Mistakes Live Forever: Ukraine's Strategic Lessons for the Pacificmickryan.substack.com Article 2 in this series explores a key strategic lesson of the past 27 months in Ukraine about the importance of strategy, and why good strategic assumptions are vital in modern strategy and warfare.

I started writing this book just after the start of the large-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. It explores lessons in 2 key areas: strategy & adaptation. "The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire" is published on 13 August 2024. mickryan.substack.com/p/the-war-fo...

The War for Ukraine is Released in One Monthmickryan.substack.com My new book, "The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire", will be published by U.S. Naval Institute Books on 13 August 2024. I can't wait for you to be able to read it.

“Russia might prefer to win by simply occupying more territory but its efforts are continually thwarted, so the attacks on civilian life may reflect frustration - lashing out to show that they can damage what they can not take.” @ldfreedman.bsky.social samf.substack.com/p/lashing-out

Lashing Outsamf.substack.com Understanding Russia's attacks on Ukrainian civilians

It was a pleasure to speak with Jonathan on his podcast today. You can watch our discussion at the link. youtu.be/oDcBrDoiQJY

Mick Ryan - To Avoid Ukrainian Defeat by a Thousand Cuts the NATO Strategy Needs to Radically Changeyoutu.be Barely a week goes by without things occurring that would have been inconceivable three years ago. Russian territory being hit by American made munitions, hi...

"There is a strategic imperative & moral obligation to assist Ukraine to win this war as rapidly as possible. The deliberate Russian attack, using precision missiles against children at the Okhmatdyt hospital, provides us with more evidence for why this is so." mickryan.substack.com/p/the-kyiv-c...

The Kyiv Children’s Hospital Attackmickryan.substack.com More Evidence for Why NATO Must Change its Strategy for Ukraine

“In the aftermath of the strike, several social media accounts began to claim that the missile was American-made. Yet an analysis conducted by Bellingcat all point to the munition being a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile.” www.bellingcat.com/news/2024/07...

Russian Missile Identified in Kyiv Children’s Hospital Attack - bellingcatwww.bellingcat.com An analysis of open source evidence, as well as missile experts, have pointed to a Russian launched Kh-101 cruise missile being the weapon that struck a children’s hospital in Kyiv.

For those interested in NATO’s Washington Summit this week, here is the full program. www.nato.int/cps/en/natoh...

NATO Summit Washington 2024www.nato.int All timings are local time – EDT

“Historical study may only help you make slightly fewer mistakes than your opponent. But, if history proves anything, it is that this is often good enough.” warroom.armywarcollege.edu/articles/lea...

LEARNING OR CONFIRMING? HISTORY AND THE MILITARY PROFESSIONAL - War Room - U.S. Army War Collegewarroom.armywarcollege.edu #History is a tool that must be wielded carefully. Ignoring it is as dangerous as misusing it. Recommendations for learning lessons.

In the next 48 hours, NATO will hold its annual summit in Washington DC. There will be a range of topics discussed, including the war in #Ukraine. But, China's role in supporting Russia may also be a subject of discussion. My latetst at Futura Doctrina ($). mickryan.substack.com/p/china-bene...

China Benefits from a Russian Long War in Ukrainemickryan.substack.com China and its ongoing support for Russia is likely to be an important topic at this week’s Washington NATO summit.

The latest edition of The Big Five, with my top weekly readings on military and national security affairs, is now available. It includes articles from @WarInstitute @ForeignAffairs @washingtonpost & @NavalInstitute mickryan.substack.com/p/the-big-fi...

The Big Five - 7 July editionmickryan.substack.com A weekly guide to readings on modern war and adapting to win

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About #NATO, #Russia and why he stays optimistic about #Ukraine even in the dark days. My conversation with General (Ret.) Mick Ryan. Listen to my #podcast #TheGlobalAgora. podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Putinswar #military #defense

About NATO, Russia and why he stays optimistic about Ukraine even in the dark days. My conversation with General (Ret.) Mick Ryan by The Global Agorapodcasters.spotify.com If you listen to my podcast The Global Agora you know Mick Ryan has been generous enough to appear on my show. He is a military strategist and retired Australian Army major general, so I again used th...

The experience of failure is one of the best ways for individuals and institutions to improve their performance. My latest article "The Misfortunes of War" explores failure in 21st century military institutions. engelsbergideas.com/essays/the-m...

The misfortunes of warengelsbergideas.com Recent military failures in Ukraine and the Middle East shed light on warfare's future while reaffirming the age-old truth that, in conflict, little is ever truly new.

An interesting examination of Russian adaptation and expanded production of drones since its large-scale invasion of #Ukraine. www.forbes.com/sites/davidh...

Is Russian Drone Production Overtaking Ukraine?www.forbes.com Russia has lagged Ukraine's in drone production but the longer the war continues, the more its greater resources will be a factor

Russia may still have a couple of months where they can conduct offensive activities before they culminate. But, they appear to have blown what might have been its last chance to strike a decisive blow against #Ukraine in this war. My latest at Futura Doctrina. mickryan.substack.com/p/has-russia...

Has Russia Blown its 2024 Opportunity in Ukraine?mickryan.substack.com Russia may never get an another opportunity like the past six months. An updated assessment of Russia’s 2024 offensives.

This week, we interview @AmbVasyl, the Ukrainian ambassador to Australia & New Zealand. We discuss the recent Ukraine peace summit, the trajectory of the war & why Australia needs to continue supporting Ukraine with military and other assistance. mickryan.substack.com/p/bourke-and...

Bourke & Ryan - Episode 9mickryan.substack.com Our weekly discusion about national security and modern conflict

This week, a viewer of one of my occasional TV appearances wrote to ask the titles of the books behind me. I shared with them the list of books (some of which are hidden behind me), and I thought I would also share it with you. Happy reading! mickryan.substack.com/p/books-in-t...

Books in the Backgroundmickryan.substack.com What are those books on the shelf behind me?

Earlier this week, I published the first part of a special assessment on the leadership lessons from #Ukraine. In this 2nd part, I explore two other important levels of command and leadership: strategic military leadership; and, combat leadership. mickryan.substack.com/p/leadership...

Leadership Lessons from Ukrainemickryan.substack.com Part two of my special examination of the key lessons about modern leadership from the war in Ukraine. In this final part, strategic and combat leadership are the focus.

It was a pleasure to speak with @TimesRadio again to discuss the trajectory of the war in #Ukraine, including Putin’s strategic missteps which have seen South Korea sending military aid to #Ukraine. youtu.be/Fpss3VzfOyw?...

Ukraine intensifies strikes on Russia as South Korea considers sending arms | Maj. Gen. Mick Ryanyoutu.be Ukrainian shaping operations have intensified as key Russian targets and air defences are struck to make way for F-16's and other Western weapons, Maj. Gen. ...

The latest episode of the Bourke & Ryan podcast is now available. This week, we welcome our first guest to discuss the outcomes of the #Ukraine peace summit, Australia's aid to Ukraine and the issue of the Australian embassy in #Kyiv. mickryan.substack.com/p/bourke-and...

Bourke & Ryan: Episode 8mickryan.substack.com A discussion about the Ukraine peace summit and a debrief from the leader of Australia's delegation to the summit

“Contrary to the idea that wars must end with a negotiated solution in practice they rarely do.” Another brilliant essay on warfare from @ldfreedman.bsky.social samf.substack.com/p/why-wars-d...

Why Wars Don’t Always End with Negotiationssamf.substack.com The Falklands Example

There are many lessons from the war in Ukraine. But these lessons need to be considered through the context of different regions beyond eastern Europe. As such, I am starting a new series to translate the lessons from Ukraine for application in the Pacific. mickryan.substack.com/p/ukraine-le...

Ukraine Lessons for the Pacificmickryan.substack.com Introducing a New Series on Translating the Lessons of Ukraine to the Pacific Ocean region

A brilliant piece by ⁦‪Shashank Joshi at The Economist‬⁩ on #AI and how it is changing the character of war. Thanks too for mentioning the drone report by Clint Hinote and myself from earlier this year. www.economist.com/briefing/202...

How AI is changing warfarewww.economist.com An AI-assisted general staff may be more important than killer robots

I love this article by Frank Hoffman and George Garrett on the lessons from the maritime elements of the Ukraine War. tnsr.org/2024/06/a-br...

A Break in the Clouds: Learning Lessons From the Sea - Texas National Security Reviewtnsr.org Learning lessons from past and current wars is a complicated endeavor, given observers’ personal and institutional preferences and other challenges. Nonetheless, Frank Hoffman and George P. Garrett ar...

For a little while now I have wanted to write about the Russian turtle tanks. These weird and unwieldy beasts provide a discrete solution to a contemporary battlefield problem - generating successful offensive operations. Read my assessment here: mickryan.substack.com/p/ode-to-the...

Ode to the Turtle Tankmickryan.substack.com The Russian turtle tank is weird and interesting, and only a temporary solution to a larger battlefield challenge

I have just posted my Big Five for 17 June. It is my weekly guide to readings on modern war and adapting to win. This week, articles on learning from Ukraine’s innovation in the Black Sea, China’s nuclear weapons, the battle of Avdiivka, and robotic dogs of war! mickryan.substack.com/p/the-big-fi...

The Big Five - 17 June editionmickryan.substack.com A weekly guide to readings on modern war and adapting to win

Summit on Peace in Ukraine: Joint Communiqué on a Peace Framework www.eda.admin.ch/eda/en/fdfa/...

Summit on Peace in Ukraine: Joint Communiqué on a Peace Frameworkwww.eda.admin.ch

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😞🙏 "Russia uses 3200-3500 aerial bombs per month for civilian population. So that people are afraid and flee from this city, and Russia has the opportunity to occupy villages and cities. Just like Hitler did - "carpet" bombing - everything is the same, one manual", - Zelensky

In the past 48 hours, the U.S. and Ukraine signed a new security agreement on the sidelines of the G7 meeting being held in Italy. What is the nature of the new agreement between Ukraine and the U.S. and what are the potential implications over the next decade? mickryan.substack.com/p/a-new-us-u...

A New US-Ukraine Security Agreementmickryan.substack.com A Quick Assessment of the agreement and what it means

“The idea is that as soon as China’s invasion fleet begins moving across the 100-mile waterway that separates China and Taiwan, the U.S. military would deploy thousands of unmanned submarines, unmanned surface ships and aerial drones to flood the area…” @joshrogin wapo.st/3xjIQHe

Opinion | The U.S. military plans a ‘Hellscape’ to deter China from attacking Taiwanwapo.st But a top U.S. military commander for Asia says time is running out to put the plan in place.

Morning walk.