Some initial thoughts on the UK elections.
1. It confirms once again that when a center-right party veers to the hard right to weaken the far right, it ends up doing the opposite. After purging moderates and going full-on wingnuts and fever swamp, the Tories got decimated by Reform, not Labour.
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I don't think it explains the results this time - the Tory plus Reform vote is eight points less then the Tory plus Brexit vote five years ago - but it would be really funny if the Tories lost so not because ten or so years ago they screwed their Lib Dem coalition partners who wanted voting reform.