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This is how the election would turn out if the individual state betting markets proved to be true as of today, making November to March a very good time to go on a nice extended overseas vacation.
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Minnesota being lean and Jersey only likely seems...suspect
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It makes sense in the context of Biden being that terrible a candidate. Dems could have done better with pretty much anyone else.
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It has more to do with the rural areas of our state getting whiter and therefore, more extremist. Granted, Biden's doing himself no favors with our massive Muslim community but, MN's frightened and angry white population has been slowly turning it swing for several cycles, now.