Tim Onion: This is how the election would turn out if the individual state betting markets proved to be true as of today, making November to March a very good time to go on a nice extended overseas vacation.

This is how the election would turn out if the individual state betting markets proved to be true as of today, making November to March a very good time to go on a nice extended overseas vacation.

It is not crazy to think that the entire election will come down to Nebraska-1, which is basically just Omaha.

I feel sooooo powerful! Court my all important vote! I’m a white male in Omaha! I’m highly desirable voting demographic!

As an Omaha expat I think Biden could easily pick up Omaha if he visited for a day, which would be more time than the mayor spends there.

He won the Omaha district (actually NE-2) in 2020

With the redrawn district map, it will be harder to win, but should be possible and I’d say it’s worth a visit!

Biden should just promise to finally make north downtown actually happen (but not build Wall Street Tower rip) and get shows at the Slowdown again

he won it in 2020

I'd be interested to know what the betting markets looked like in 2020 five months out from the election and compare the discrepancy in outcome to these.

Lady Fanny of Omaha!!

THANK YOU

Worse. If it comes down to Dems only getting 270 ECV, much more likely GOP succeeds by simply figuring out a way to delay at least one EC Vote.

He's been calling it for years.

That would be NE02. NE01 is Lincoln, which, unlike Omaha, has a Dem mayor, but its house district is heavily gerrymandered.

It is, however, crazy that the outcome is even in question!

yeah it is kind of crazy, it’s not happening

I look forward to libs pretending to care about us for the next 5 months, followed by shitting on us for decades

Yeah the right wing extremists and our governer is trying to change it so the Omaha and Lincoln votes are nullified. Which is surprising, you'd think Pillen wouldn't have time to kiss Trump's ring what with that kid that he killed

Between this and Strategic Air Command we have given them too much power

which is why they were trying to change it. but then maine said they'd do the same.

Eek! 🙀

What? Most of Omaha is in Nebraska-2, Nebraska 1 has the southern third of Omaha, all of Lincoln, and suburban communities from both cities

Maine 2, too.

That one is a lost cause

is this the real tim onions?

Minnesota being lean and Jersey only likely seems...suspect

Republicans haven't won a statewide election in MN since 2006, and they are currently in shambles running an avowed homophobic antisemitic misogynist conspiracy theorist for Senate. I would be shocked if Trump took the state.

Polls are so broken, unless special elections are leaning way to the left of what thr voters will do in the general election for some reason it's gonna look different than this

I mean yes. Polls aren’t predictive they’re proscriptive. And betting markets are even less useful for determining outcomes than polls.

I made money off of betting markets last election. I currently have $20 on tru'p winning the primary and I'm gonna flip my modest profit over to Biden in the general

Mexico Nuevo?

Me too. If we can get the word out on the impact of Project 25 on their lives, we might see farmers and folks on the Range stay home instead of voting for trump.

It makes sense in the context of Biden being that terrible a candidate. Dems could have done better with pretty much anyone else.

It in fact does not but thanks for playing

It has more to do with the rural areas of our state getting whiter and therefore, more extremist. Granted, Biden's doing himself no favors with our massive Muslim community but, MN's frightened and angry white population has been slowly turning it swing for several cycles, now.

I fucking hate this country sometimes. It's like being held hostage every 4 years.

And the Stockholm syndrome has long worn off

Life will be a lot easier if I don't have to leave the US because Trump is converting it to a dictatorship. You can help out: Check your voter registration: iwillvote.com Volunteer: www.mobilize.us?q=biden Donate: secure.joebiden.com/a/BVF?attr=1...

I Will Voteiwillvote.com Be a voter. Find everything you need to vote in your state's next election.

Interesting... I didn't know one could do this. Thanks for the tip

Pass it on, right? We can make sure our friends & family members are registered.

Absolutely. People who moved, changed name, or simply happen to live in a state where Republican officials purged their registration will need to register to vote again.

Anyone else remember when Obama won Indiana 😆😅😭

Remember when Florida and Ohio were swing states?

I miss those days. Now we just import everyone’s assholes, with promises of “muh freedoms”

well i'm feeling a ton of anxiety now thanks

thanks, I hate it : )

cool that Biden told the Arab-American population in MI to fuck off and die like their family members in Gaza did

Not really, but Graham and Stefanik have mused about nuking Gaza and Nikki Haley signed an actual bomb, so there's that...

boy it sure looks like the blue guy has mysteriously alienated his previous support base in Michigan

It only looks that way if you’re a moron who relies on bettors to predict election results five months out.

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