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This data shouldn't be causing people to write "maybe trump is flipping the youth vote" it should be causing people to write "what is wrong with our polling methodology????"
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I'm literally the front lines of "polling is good and scientific actually" and I am *extremely* skeptical of current polling results. We are doing something wrong. Poll results keep showing things that are *not consistent with reality* in the cross tabs.
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I also feel like we have had enough actual outcomes in the last 4 years to recognize that we have a systemic structural polling error. I am not saying polling as an industry is fucked, but I am saying something is being done wrong and we have enough data now to know that.
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Surveys no longer deserve the benefit of the doubt (if they ever did).