It's stuff like this that makes me think Biden is going to win reelection, deeply shocking a media establishment that's been trying to tank his presidency since he pulled troops out of Afghanistan
Some of you are mixing up "is" with "ought" again.
Biden is in a stronger position than media coverage would have you believe vs. Biden ought to win. Which one am I saying?
It actually turned out pretty well. If a single paper cut had happened along with the loss of a truckload of MREs, some media would have screamed about what a disaster it had been.
That was baked in.
are you under the misapprehension that we were not committing war crimes and covering them up in Afghanistan on a regular basis over the course of twenty years
The funniest outcome is Biden easily winning reelection despite increasingly dire media predictions, causing a Dewey Beats Truman moment on the NYT homepage
It is, but even discounting 2016, the NYT put its fat institutional ass on the scale for Eric Adams and now leprechauns live in fear of being put on the grill.
Listen to Michigan launched Feb. 6. In 21 days, they managed to mobilize an army of volunteers on a shoestring budget to pull double-digit percentage points from Biden. The NYTimes framing sucks, but this campaign hit their goal—and that's a win for all grassroots efforts.
He was actually around 50% at this time, and stayed there until after the second inauguration. Probably the last time any president will be over 50 for any amount of time. news.gallup.com/interactives...
I've been trolling Nixon's ghost by arguing we're in a new "Silent Majority" era, with a broad group of people sick of Trump and voting Dem, despite Herrenvolk-ish media narratives and attention grabbers on the right
Feels a likely win so long as his team continues 'don't say too much-ing'.
Trump has a more engaged voter block, but won't be enough to win having alienated so many trad-GOP.
3rd parties less a factor this cycle with LP broken and no Green energy; May-July primaries will be telling
It's b/c no one believes 30% of the GOP is going to sit out the election or defect from the GOP, but a good chance a large portion of that 15% uncommitted could sit out if Biden doesn't change course.
There’s no business filled with more broke self-loathing Chapo Trap House wannabes than mainstream news outlet journalists. Gotta hate those forgiven loans y’all wasted at Columbia
I'm sure you're the expert. Me, I'm just a never-been-to-JSchool, retired after 47 years journalist. And last I checked, I was no more filled with self-loathing than the average Irish Catholic.
We have 935,564 news cycles between now and November. Unless one of the two stroke out between now and Nov, it's going to be a slim victory for someone in Nov.
I moved to Oklahoma in 2021. Lots of Trump signs were still up in yards then. The signs slowly disappeared over the past couple of years. There are not many back up today. Trump will still win here, but a lack of enthusiasm from rural Oklahomans is a big sign of problems for him.
I think I agree, but what makes you so confident? Trump is a uniquely terrible, repelling candidate is the best I've got. The media isn't helping, but Biden has very clear policies he can change on and win support, and he just won't, namely Palestine. I'm afraid that alone can tank him
I also don't think it’s a guarantee that a sudden shift in policy on Palestine wouldn’t lose Biden support among pro-Israel Democrats, of which there are many. The moral stance might be clear, but the political trade-offs seem unpredictable.
I mean, a ceasefire is incredibly popular, especially among Democrats. The morals are clear and there is little to no downside politically. Meanwhile, supporting these atrocities is morally unacceptable and also clearly alienating a sizeable portion of Democratic voters
