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Honest question: Do political scientists who propose a Harris nomination do so based on principles, or are there data I am unaware of that suggest she is the Democrat with the highest chance of winning against Trump? #polisci #polisky #USelections #USpolitics
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As of May, Biden Harris had raised $231 million and built a massive campaign structure. If he quit the race, those assets could not be shifted to anybody other than Harris. That's the ball game that almost none of the Biden doomers care to discuss.
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One old data point: bsky.app/profile/did:...
From 2019 but useful to consider Harris as a potentially strong coalition-building candidate. fivethirtyeight.com/features/why...
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One new data point: bsky.app/profile/owas...
“Across demographic groups, Harris outperforms Biden. On the chart, dots shown to the left on a given line indicate the candidate who fares better against Trump. Notice that the solid circles—those indicating Harris’s margins against Trump—sit consistently to the left.” Gift link: wapo.st/4cpPriQ
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Thank you again, Omar! Both this and the previous post your shared compare Harris to Biden. My question is about Harris vs. other Democrats (besides Biden). Do you know of any polls comparing Harris with e.g. Newsom?
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...and the new CNN Poll:
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Thank you Omar! I think data from January 2019 are useless. Among other things, they precede the so-called anti-CRT laws and the more recent anti-EDI wave. Will respond separately to the other pieces of info you shared