Charles Gaba

@charlesgaba.bsky.social

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Healthcare data analysis, advocacy & snark.
https://ACASignups.net
https://Mastodon.social/@charlesgaba
https://Spoutible.com/charlesgaba
https://Threads.net/@charlesgaba2

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Reply to

Charles Gaba

This, to me, is perhaps the clearest visual of how successful the #ACA has become over the years, especially under the Biden/Harris Administration. See the top left corner? That's earlier this year.

📣 UPDATE: I'm less than $8,000 away! Help me break $800K for Democrats up & down the ballot by midnight. Pick a page, pick some candidates & donate TODAY! #July4th #Blue24 blue24.org

Reply to

Charles Gaba

And yes, I'm putting my money where my mouth is. Blue24.org

Reply to

Charles Gaba

P.P.P.S. Whoops! I forgot one more important graph. This shows my 2024 cycle Dem fundraising efforts thru the end of June vs. the 2020 cycle. We'll see what July brings. Blue24.org

Reply to

Charles Gaba

One final graph: Here's a rolling 21-day average of how much I've raised for all ~700 candidates combined (from President Biden down to the smallest State House district). Take a wild guess when #TheDebate happened. Democrats are PISSED, and it's not at Biden.

Reply to

Charles Gaba

In 2020, this didn't seem to make much difference to most people: I raised nearly as much for the candidates running in the 16 "pipe dream" races as I did for the dozen or so competitive races (around 55% competitive vs. ~45% long shots). HOWEVER, look at this cycle:

Reply to

Charles Gaba

Here's how my Blue24.org Dem fundraising project looks thru the end of June compared to the same point in 2024: $762,000 raised for Democrats up & down the ballot vs. $408,000 four years ago.

If that doesn't impress, here's the same categories broken out in bar graph format. SENATE fundraising is slightly behind 2020, but HOUSE fundraising is up 66%, and STATE LEGISLATIVE fundraising is a stunning 7.3x HIGHER than the same point four years ago.

👀👀👀 #RidinWithBiden #Blue24 Keep it going! blue24.org

Reply to

Charles Gaba

...and of those 4 states, here's the 50 districts which Dave's Redistricting has rated as having PVI scores of +4 or closer (ie, they lean slightly blue, slightly red or are true tossup districts):

Reply to

Charles Gaba

Since this involves a LOT of graphs & tables, I'm breaking it into 10 posts of 5 states apiece. I've already posted Alabama - Maryland. Today I present #Massachusetts, #Michigan, #Minnesota, #Mississippi & #Missouri. Here's what MASSACHUSETTS looks like: 6/

For starters, a single 50-yr old earning $50,000/year would see their net premiums jump by 38%. 7/

How about a family of four earning $80,000/year? Here in #MICHIGAN, they'd go from paying $311/mo to $587/mo...an 89% spike.

#MINNESOTA's Basic Health Plan program would protect a lot of low-income families, but a 50-yr old couple with one college-age kid earning $60K/year would see their net premiums more than DOUBLE, costing them an extra $2,600/year.

Right now in #MISSISSIPPI, a single parent w/one child earning $30K/year only has to pay $2/month for the benchmark plan. If the subsidies revert, this would jump to $105/month...more than *50x* as much!

And in #MISSOURI, God help you if you're a 60-yr old couple earning more than $80,000/year. You'd lose ALL financial assistance & see your mnthly premiums skyrocket from as little as $570 to over $2,600...nearly $25,000/year more!

Reply to

Charles Gaba

Since this involves a LOT of graphs & tables, I'm breaking it into 10 posts of 5 states apiece. I've already posted Alabama - Iowa. Today I present Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine & Maryland. Here's what #KANSAS looks like: 6/

A single 30-yr old earning $25,000/year would see their net premiums nearly QUINTUPLE from $18/mo to $106/mo. 7/

In KENTUCKY, a single parent w/1 child earning $60K/year would see their premiums jump from $306 to $490/month...a 60% hike.

In LOUISIANA, a family of four earning $80,000/year would be hit with an extra $3,300/year in insurance premiums. 9/

In MAINE, a 50-yr old couple earning $60K/yr with one kid in college would see their premiums DOUBLE. 10/

And in MARYLAND, if the upgraded subsidy formula is allowed to expire, starting January 1, 2026, a 60-yr old couple earning $90K/year would see their premiums jump by nearly $10,000 PER YEAR. 11/

Reply to

Charles Gaba

Since this involves a LOT of graphs & tables, I'm breaking it into 10 posts of 5 states apiece. Last week I posted Alabama - Georgia. Today I present Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana & Iowa. Here's what HAWAII looks like: 6/

A single 30-yr old earning $50K/yr would go from paying $247/mo to $406/mo for the benchmark silver plan...over $1,900 extra per year. 7/

In IDAHO, a single parent w/1 child earning $30K/year would see their premiums jump from just $2/mo to $105/month...over 50x as much!

In ILLINOIS, a family of four earning $80,000/year would be hit with an extra $3,300/year in insurance premiums. 9/

In INDIANA a 50-yr old couple earning $120K/yr with one kid in college would see their premiums jump by 67%.

And in IOWA, if the upgraded subsidy formula is allowed to expire, starting January 1, 2026, a 60-yr old couple earning $90K/year would see their premiums jump by over $1,100 *per month*.

Reply to

Charles Gaba

Since this involves a LOT of graphs & tables, I'm breaking it into 10 posts of 5 states apiece. Here's what ALABAMA would look like:

...and here's what that looks like visually. Older enrollees (50+) who earn more than 400% FPL are hit the hardest in raw dollar hikes...but for low-income enrollees (< 200% FPL) even a $25/mo hike may mean having to make tough choices about basic necessities.