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you'll have to summarize for those of us that dont have Puck, but I think its a little showing their cards here to describe a 2 point shift as a 'plunge'
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also 40% of his 2020 voters now saying he should drop out, up from 25% in May
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yeah i found the graphic of the polling elsewhere. A 2% shift down isnt much nor is it out of line with some other polling we've seen, but those internal numbers (conspicuously just margins & not actual H2H numbers) are waaaaay lower than polling, recent elections, or fundamentals would suggest.
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Biden could be a corpse by November and Colorado will not be within 2 points. Like, come on.
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Yeah this seems an awful lot like non response bias