The Stylite

@columnist.bsky.social

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Proper mad election

Prince

Happy to say I have no particular political affiliation other than being generally opposed to colossal weapons. That said, there’s alot less colossal weapons in government than there were a week ago.

Like Sophocles

The eternal battle between bladder and penalties

Cheeky

Lads

Oh fgs

I had forgotten the watching England trauma which it turns out is the same as watching France trauma if you’re French.

Turns out to be not at all straightforward to find a pub in Covent Garden to watch the football

Out of curiosity does anyone know at what share of the national vote (assuming the current distribution) does Reform get a material number of MPs?

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The Stylite

hmmm

I haven’t looked at anything apart from the exit polls but based on my many years of experience and all-round sage-ness, it looks like Rishi really turned this one around - a huge vindication for the turn to the right strategy. Great work everyone!

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOH

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Législatives au Royaume-Uni : les travaillistes remportent largement les élections, mettant fin à quatorze ans de pouvoir des conservateurs

Législatives au Royaume-Uni : les travaillistes remportent largement les élections, mettant fin à quatorze ans de pouvoir des conservateurswww.lemonde.fr Selon les sondages à la sortie des urnes relayés par les chaînes de télévision britanniques, jeudi 4 juillet, le Labour, positionné au centre-gauche, remporte une victoire historique. Le parti réunirait 410 sièges sur les 650 de la Chambre des communes.…

Well I’m at a July 4 party in Paris

Happy End of Tory Party Day to all those who celebrate, which I’m guessing is most of the Brits on here.

Well it’s been quite a day and all I can say is… 1. OMG the cost of ‘nice’ shoes for the niece and… 2. Shrimsley is absolutely right re the Brexit impact ‘audit’.

Got the niece shoes - took 10 minutes 😇

Well I appear to be taking my visiting niece ‘nice shoes’ shopping in Paris tomorrow.

The anti RN désistements (candidate drop-outs) are really making a big difference. Currently at 208. Off the top of my head I’d now estimate the % of a socialist majority at 5%, a RN majority at 25%, and a hung parliament at 70% (with the % of the latter currently increasing).

Important French election graph (this shows where candidates have dropped out of their particular constituencies in order to help the non RN candidate in 3 way races).

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The Stylite

It may or may not affect the outcomes a week from now, but the front républicain, in the form of tactical withdrawals from the second round, seems to be holding. More withdrawals by the left, too, which means Macron might end up with something to bargain with after Sunday.

Législatives 2024 : qui sera candidat au second tour après les désistements ? Suivez le décompte en temps réelwww.lemonde.fr Selon les chiffres du « Monde » à 20 heures, 179 candidats arrivés troisièmes ont renoncé à déposer leur candidature, 133 triangulaires sont toujours prévues. La clôture des candidatures aura lieu mar...

Belatedly catching up with The Times coverage of the French election which seems to have completely missed the point that the most likely outcome is now some sort of hung parlement (hence French equities up 3%).

French equity market up 2.5-3% this morning, which is telling us that the markets are paralysé friendly (ht someone in the other place).

I can’t escape the feeling that what we’re seeing in these various and disparate radical electoral changes (eg France and the UK) isn’t, fundamentally, some complex ideological change, but instead a reaction against incumbency driven by economic downturn / stagnation.

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BREAKING NEWS My new feature film titled the "The Whip" will debut in select UK cinemas from September 4th 2024, ahead of a global VOD release later this year. youtu.be/fWKyRnPkksk?...

THE WHIP - Parliament Heist Movie | Trailer #1youtu.be TAKE NOTE. IN SELECT CINEMAS SEPTEMBER 4TH.With the looming threat of devastating welfare reforms known as Independence Credit, a full-time carer plots a dar...

Weird and more than a little disturbing that I’ve turned into the FT editorial view of politics. t.co/ZwLJYLS7mU

Britain needs a fresh startt.co The Conservatives have run out of road. Labour must be given a chance to govern

Ah @stephenkb.bsky.social possibly your finest tweet.

Weird watching some of the absolute scenes / can you believe it reporting on the first round of the French elections which has come in at almost precisely where the various polls indicated.