Steph Sleeper: The exigencies of the whole situation (congress, public opinion largely, AIPAC, etc) I think lean towards none of the likely replacements doing much better. Maybe Whitmer. None of the rest though. The shiny new candidates lose their sheen pretty fast.

It's been interesting to see the consensus on this site harden in realtime around the idea that not only is sticking with Biden the obvious correct choice for Dems no matter what other facts might emerge, but that anyone who suggests otherwise is either dishonest, an idiot or a handmaiden of fascism

I think it depends on your timeline. I lean slightly Biden stay because I think there are a lot of replacement hurdles that have little to do with the candidate (Biden or anyone else.) But so far there’s only one guy confidently yelling at me that no one wants that because Gaza

(And I oppose Biden’s position on Gaza but think it’s better than Trump’s, which is basically, what’s wrong with genocide? All the best people did a genocide!)

The exigencies of the whole situation (congress, public opinion largely, AIPAC, etc) I think lean towards none of the likely replacements doing much better. Maybe Whitmer. None of the rest though. The shiny new candidates lose their sheen pretty fast.

I’m more worried about rollout, technicalities—new candidate (and let’s assume it’s someone with name ID) getting on all of the ballots, fundraising money transferred so that a new candidate can use it without violating campaign finance rules and so on

Because let’s be honest: Rs will totally ratfuck (term of art in politics) this bureaucratically if it happens

Heritage Foundation is already threatening lawsuits to block a ballot replacement. (Wouldn't ordinarily cite Fox News, but on this subject, who better?) Of course, if Biden stays on the ballot, with a commitment to step aside for Harris... they at least have to get creative.

Heritage Foundation working on election legal challenges in case Biden pulled from DNC nominationwww.foxnews.com The Heritage Foundation, a major conservative activist organization, is prepared to start legal battles in multiple swing states if Democrats try to swap Biden out of the party nomination.

And Whitmer has made it clear she's not going to toss MI aside and toss Biden under the bus. Other governors might though. That said she's a strong future candidate, assuming we have a future that allows it.

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