Dan: basically no prior election is comparable. primaries did not matter in the same way 1968 and earlier. anyone who is very confident about how things will go is mistaken

i refuse to believe that americans who watched the debate think that biden’s first 15 minutes are somehow stronger evidence of old age decline than falling asleep, *in public*, DURING YOUR OWN FUCKING CRIMINAL TRIAL, *IN COURT IN FRONT OF THE JUDGE AND JURY*, but, you know, i’m not a columnist.

Trump’s public schedule showed that on most days, he worked (“worked”), like three hours a day. And this isn’t even a “Biden can’t work late at night” issue. It’s a Biden is pulling back on SCHEDULED EVENTS that start after 8pm, which is actually a good idea for most people.

The point is that of the two, the decent old codger you want to win is fluffing it and risks dangerously losing. That level of risk isn't worth it.

ditching the nominee right before the convention has a stellar track record of having worked exactly zero times it has been attempted, so it’s obviously an easy choice

When has it ever been attempted?

closest recent was 68 and this would be even weirder

It's not really comparable, imo? Also like Lyndon Johnson could not have won that election

basically no prior election is comparable. primaries did not matter in the same way 1968 and earlier. anyone who is very confident about how things will go is mistaken

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