This is what I don’t understand about American politics. It feels like Democrats fight like hell over a very small sliver of the voter demographics who mostly don’t like them anyways, and completely ignore a much larger pool of voters who would be an easier sell.
Because Senate apportionment, House gerrymandering, and state constitutions first written during eras of slavery and Jim Crow significantly, significantly skew the incentive structures.
They appeal to those edge case voters because the greater power mechanisms (white aristocracy) necessitate it.
Also, “people who would probably…” has time and time again failed that test.
People who don’t vote are simply people who don’t vote. Even when they do show out, they never participate in electoralism in enough cycles to prove out.
personally i'd like some qualitative data on that, too, cuz if it turns out they don't repeat-show-out precisely because democrats are actively hostile to them...
If you can get google to work it did two years ago, sure.
But, like, it’s in the chart.
“Votes Blue No Matter Who” (reliable) and “Probably Would Vote, If…” (🤷🏻♂️
Campaign wisdom is accumulated from hundreds of thousands of elections. If that’d work, they’d be doing it.
Speaking as someone who lives in Indiana, a state the DNC has largely abandoned to the far right despite the fact that it had a strong Democratic history, I don't have a lot of faith in Democrats' campaign wisdom.
Naptown, born and raised here.
It’s a suppression state. And certainly, each division of the party is individually subject to poor local leadership. Indiana’s is Not Great.
But Democrats are not gonna start winning in Martinsville and Goshen if only they’d pursue the lefternmost non-voters.