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Yeah you’re right! It IS bad! It was also nearly as true a year and a half ago. The other side is running a candidate who is a rapist, a convicted felon, and who tried to overthrow the government, which seems even worse! But for some reason we accept that will just get papered over.
I'm not an expert but I'm pretty sure running a candidate that the majority of people now see as senile is also extremely bad.
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The "some reason" you refer to is because we have years and years of GOP voters not giving a shit about trump's flaws. Dems can't control that. But they *can* control running a candidate that seems *obviously* better than trump, a bar that Biden is currently failing to clear.
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No one's meaningfully (outside margin of error) doing better than Biden in a head-to-head against Trump.