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minimal topline change and battleground shifts under the hood are the kind of thing i would definitely, definitely want access to the actual poll rather than descriptions of it to understand
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the people interpreting data for the campaign aren't idiots, they want to win, and likely most of them would stay exactly where they are in a Harris switch.
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Yeah, like I'm aware that non-response issues are acute in the aftermath of a debate loss like this, etc. At the same time if you were to sketch the types of numbers that would show up in polls that would indicate a red-alarm problem, well these would be among them.
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I think these would need to be *the best* numbers you see.
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Yeah maybe they'd need to be a bit worse? It's not the national numbers that worry, it's the swing states. But also they're going to need a plan to win, and if the numbers stay this bad and Joe can't effectively message that seems like a problem. But maybe he's OK and all this is fixable.
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That's a really good result. I genuinely hope that's the state of the race in pa. To the Biden team's credit it seems like he's got a full press tour booked up over the next week.