Prediction: Trump will argue that his NY conviction must be overturned because the court admitted evidence of conversations he had with his staff while President in order to prove knowledge and intent. He will argue those conversations were “official acts.” Judge Merchan and higher NY courts …./1
/2 ….will reject the argument based on finding that those conversations were not official acts and that including it was harmless error.
Trump will appeal from NY’s highest court to SCOTUS.
/3 5 or 6 SCOTUS judges, who normally love harmless error like a 15-year-old-boy loves a tube sock, will find that it doesn’t apply to introduction of evidence of Presidentially-immune acts, and that the NY court didn’t analyze official acts doctrine right and remand for more proceedings.
i’ll be honest, i’m really trying to find the outcome we avoid by not using scotus precident to put trump and anyone who signed that precident into law into the “dies” column sooner rather.
Because once you cross that Rubicon, it doesn't stop.
Torture doesn't help armies win wars. Neither do war crimes. This is a similar bright line you *do not cross* on its own merits.
One, Trump already crossed the Rubicon on January 6. Gov't held just enough to push him back. Unfortunately, SCOTUS just said, he could have gone farther.
Two, if the Dems cross it to "stop" Trump, then extremism wins anyway. You cannot fix a wrong by committing another wrong. Laws should matter.