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Matt Singh, rarely does one but we trust him confirmation bias this feels the real result to me LAB: 41% (-1) CON: 23% (-12) RFM: 13% (+11) LDM: 11% (+3) GRN: 7% (+1) SNP: 2% (-3) w/ 21-28 Feb22. @chadbourn.bsky.social @jamesdaustin.bsky.social @denofscholes.bsky.social
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That drop in Reform might just tip the Tories over 100. They'll celebrate like they won the argument.
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indeed mate but if you asked me for my exit poll prediction this would be it and of course still an historic drubbing just not destruction but they self implode anyway
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Low for me would be 70 and their high is 110. That is a wide range.
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80 seat majority to 100 seats is like polishing shit and saying it’s better than what you’ve just trod in.
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he means tory numbers alone, and Den the range according to all we have seen is 40 to 150 ... because so many seats in their heartlands have turned into 3 and 4 way seats, a lot of seats today will be won on like 30% or less of the vote UNLESS we see big tactical voting moves
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thats between LD and Lab
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If only the Tories had backed AV
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the irony eh ?? though not 100% sure many of the reform voters would out them alternative
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Finally! Yes, that looks good. He dodged the legal bullet putting it out now because the fieldwork was before midnight.
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indeed and that ISPOS one earlier just looks dodgy because the SNP figure is so wrong
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yeah Matt does them rarely but if you know him, you will know he is no fool