"at this point, democrats probably realize that Trump is going to just win in November" is an absolutely disqualifying statement for any pundit. Like how the polls showed a massive red wave in 22?
Lethal admixture of doomerism and stupidity.
Nate silver joins Linus Pauling in the getting so high off their own farts that they feel entitled to —and often do—completely disregard the basic tenets of their field, and based on being smart in their field, they dunning-Kruger themselves everywhere else.
During the pandemic Silver tweeted about how he'd been studying various rona-related diseases for a majority of his life, and then lost his mind when people pointed out he had never tweeted or written about such studies at any point in his life before 2020.
Pauling won 2 unshared Nobel Prizes, basically invented multiple fields of chemistry, discovered the cause of sickle cell anemia, and decided that taking 3 grams of vitamin C a day would prevent the common cold, cure cancer, etc. Also became of large proponent of “negative eugenics” for a decade.