My suspicion is that the revived leftist Popular Front will take the most seats, if only because its base, though disparate, will still be more mobilized to resist the RN than Macron’s beleaguered and bewildered party and voters.
I've been holding off predicting a better than expected outcome for him ever since Tuesday, when I saw the number of duels they had with the RN.
The danger is that he'll see this as vindication.
That's true but I feel like that won't matter in the immediate aftermath. She can still point to a growth in voteshare and luring Ciottis people out of LR.
Ceilings will be a debate for 2027 though, enough time for new career-politicians in RN to start aiming higher
Very possible, and in fairness, I said the same thing after the 2022 presidential outcome, but the breakthrough in the legislatives two months later gave her a second lease on life.